Friday, June 14, 2013

Financial Management II - course wrap up

JWI 531 Financial Management II, week10 summary, 6/15/13

What a great ride ! The final lectures left me with a sense of awe and wonder. I always wanted to learn about corporate governance and finally it is demystified for me now. I get it.

I. What have you mastered about Financial Management?
None. I feel I have been introduced to a great new world of beauty.

Finance is like the lifeblood of organizations. With the principles, tools and techniques I have picked up from this course, I know I can navigate my way forward - with right financial decisions for my firm - intelligently.

Here are the concepts I am very comfortable with and have internalized completely:
1. Economic Moat = Competitive Advantage.
2. Actively strengthen 4 key Moat metrics using Seller's model:
Economies of scale - develop ability to exert low cost pressure
High switching costs - customer stickiness
Intangible assets -  patents & IP
Network economics - gain a wide user base
3. Constantly watch for disruptive innovations (Clayton Christensen) - they could eat your firm's lunch This is the principle I will use more at work going forward.
4. Reading 10K, 10Q, SEC reports has become second nature to me now. I learned a great deal about several companies this way.
5. Understanding different types of leases and becoming aware of off-balance-sheet financing practices (W5, L1), I can now - for the first time - begin to see through the Enrons of the world.
6. Understanding Corporate life cycle, pros & cons of IPOs, M&A, Private equity investment, Chapter11/7 bankruptcy gives me a solid foundation on organization development.
7. Growth opportunity is shifting to Global Players - examine emerging market opportunities, adjust to risk. This is a key insight that will guide my career decision.
8. Emerging markets vs Advanced markets - we did a great SWOT-like discussion in the DQ. As I have spent half my life in India and half in US, I can see clearly from both sides of the wall.
9. US is facing a tectonic shift - something that occurs once in 100 years. Jobs in US are at high risk. Innovation key to survive and thrive.
Maket growth power is now moving to BRIC countries. International investment offers great opportunity. With great potential comes great challenge. Five factors to watch for pitfalls & evaluate attractiveness of investment:
(i) Respect for rule of law - strong rights of appeal, low levels of corruption
(ii) Political stability and a government makes up a small percentage of local economy
(iii) Stable currency
(iv) Invest-ability
(v) Culture
10.  Corporate Governance Definition
- Responsiveness of a company to its owners, the shareholders
- does the company protect shareholder interests?
- structure of BoD
- independence of BoD
- board's oversight of executive compensatio
- ability of shareholders to call special meetings
- include local communities, employees, environment
- values: integrity, honesty, transparency
11. Board of Directors
- Shareholders own the company and have the right to elect a Board of Directors (but in reality this is an undemocratic process - 99% individuals nominated by the company's exec team run unopposed)
- Finding a shareholder friendly board is important
- Board has a huge amount of power over the company and its shareholders.
- Responsibility of the board is to keep the executive team in check.
- Board determines who runs the company, how much they are paid and overall strategy.
- Board sets pay of top executives
- BoD supposed to act on behalf of shareholders and ensure management is running the business properly
- To test a Board's fitness & suitability, examine the makeup, rules, processes for nominating and electing new board members
12. CEO Responsibilities:
(1) Empower: the right people to run day-to-day operations of the business
(2) Capital allocation: Make the best possible capital-allocation decisions
(3) Culture: Foster and implement long-term strategic and cultural change
13. Good governance means CEOs need to take more responsibility and fewer risks in short term
Help company generate substantial long-term shareholder value
14. Keep incentives in line with what you want the CEO to be doing.
Key Metrics & Questions to align performance with incentives & create effective executive-compensation structure
Long Term Bias - Does it minimize short-term thinking ?
Shareholder interest - Does it match up CEO and shareholder interests?
Fraud-Proof - Does it reduce opportunities for fraud?
Wholesome Decison Making - Does it generally encourage good decision making ?

II. What do you now understand but may want to learn more about?
15. Stock valuation techniques using Earnings, revenue, cashflow, equity - intriguing concepts; would like to learn more
16. Bond valuation for fixed income and risk assessment
17. Business profitability assessment with breakeven analysis and payback period analysis
18. Risk management tools  - to hedge responsibly against negative events - through derivatives and options is a technique I would like to learn more about. The lectures were fantastic as they explained in simple terms what the world of derivatives and options looks like and gave us the insights needed to make our way quickly forward with risk take downs.
19. It is not enough to just make good products to sell. For success, it is important to watch and react to currency fluctuation, foreign exchange and global macroeconomic events. Companies that increasingly sell products abroad have to deal with macroeconomic risks associated with international trade.
20. There is a ton of material in the annual reports that I wish to dig into to further understand financial situation of firms.
21. I like how this class linked finance with strategy. I would like to learn more about the linkage and also about car wrecks they they were disconnected.

III. What questions can you now articulate about Financial Management based on what you have learned in this course?
22. I would like to learn more about the software tools firms use for real time analysis of financials,

Outstanding class. The best complement a student can give a teacher - that he helped see far and kindled curiosity for a lifetime of learning.
Dr DP

Corporate Governance - CEO Responsibilities, Executive Compensation, BoD

JWI 531 Advanced Financial Management II, week10 notes, 6/12/13

I. Executive Compensation and Public Outrage
*********************************************
CEO compensation
Cash pay - $1M cap else tax kicks in
Stock options
Bonus
Salary and RSU - preferred way to incentivize execs

Theory
Put a very gifted CEO with a very large firm
Wonderful things happen
Supply and demand for very very talented CEO
CEOs get entrenched with their boards - they are able to extract large amounts of pay

Right BoD gets the right CEO at right pay
- do the fiduciary duty
- understand who the best CEO is
- what is the right pay to attract and retain that person
shareholders and directors should decide the appropriate pay

People get the leaders they deserve
Shareholders get the CEOs they deserve

Shareholders should pay attention
Elect good directors
Monitor management
Go to meetings
Else they might be stuck with CEOs they deserve

Shareholders vote with their feet
Institutional investors can put forth proposals about pay and management
Pay attention to what the Board and management are doing
Shareholders must ensure right people are sitting on board
and CEOs are being monitored very well

Shareholders should ask:
Do we have the right strategy?
Do we have the right leader and is he or she being paid the right amount?
Shareholders shold get involved
- keep an eye on management
- who is on the Board; independent watchdogs ?
- what is the relationship between the board and the management of the firm ?

Better governance, not bigger government

II.Charlie Munger's 10 Rules for Investment Success
****************************************************
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2007/12/13/charlie-mungers-10-rules-for-investment-success.aspx
1. Measure risk
****************
All investment evaluations should begin by measuring risk, especially reputational
Avoid questionable characters, give yourself a large margin of safety
2. Be independent
******************
Believe that what you're doing is right
Don't follow the heard to mediocrity
Succeed by going against the grain - when others are jubilant, be scared
Do what is ignored by the masses

3. Prepare ahead
*****************
To win, work, work, work and hope to have a few insights
Read thousands of annual reports to cultivate ideas
Be constantly curious about everything in life.
Never stop asking the "whys" in what you do
Stay motivated
4. Have intellectual humility
*****************************
Acknowledge what you don't know - this is the dawning of wisdom
Invest in comfort zone - know what the business will look like in the future
5. Analyze rigorously - embrace simplicity not complexity
*********************
Use effective checklists to minimize errors and omissions
Estimate the security's worth first, before you look at the price.
Focus on value of business not market forecasts and timing of business.
6. Allocate assets wisely
*************************
Proper allocation of capital is an investor's No.1 job.
When good ideas come, pour capital into them.
Else, simply enjoy the sun.
When you find a great investment, don't be afraid to bet big on it.
7. Have patience
*****************
Resist the natural human bias to act
Sit on your ass and read
Talk to highly gifted persons you trust and trust you.
Make big commitments in quality companies, then hold on to them.
8. Be decisive
**************
When proper circumstances present themselves, act with decisiveness and conviction
Don't let others' emotions sway you

9. Be ready for change
***********************
Accept unremovable complexity
Sometimes your best ideas will prove incorrect.
Roll with the changing market

10. Stay focused
****************
Keep it simple and remember what you set out to do.
In chasing little, unimportant things, don't overlook huge and critical factors.
Keep it simple - fixate on what really matters.

III. Corporate Governance (WK10L1)
**************************

Goal:
*******
Good governance
Take more responsibility and fewer risks in short term
Help company generate substantial long-term shareholder value

Good Governance is Good business
Good Governance does not guarantee that a business will be successful
Success does not guarantee a cmpany will use good cororate governance practices

Shareholders or employees of a company  have their future tied to efficiency and sustainability of the business
Need to consider how organization is run and whether it is built to last for long term
Many investors and general public have lost patience with corporate irresponsibility

Financial decision makers must now be acutely aware of how a business is run from a structural standpoint.
Smart companies understand: Good governance drives a healthy bottomline.
Steady stream of profits, ignoring corporate governance, can lead to unhealthy results eg. financial crisis.

(1) Board of Directors
***********************
- Shareholders own the company and have the right to elect a Board of Directors (but in reality this is an undemocratic process - 99% individuals nominated by the company's exec team run unopposed)
- Finding a shareholder friendly board is important
- Board has a huge amount of power over the company and its shareholders.
- Responsibility of the board is to keep the executive team in check.
- Board determines who runs the company, how much they are paid and overall strategy.
- Board sets pay of top executives
- BoD supposed to act on behalf of shareholders and ensure management is running the business properly
- To test a Board's fitness & suitability, examine the makeup, rules, processes for nominating and electing new board members

(2) Corporate Governance Definition
************************************
- Responsiveness of a company to its owners, the shareholders
- does the company protect shareholder interests?
- structure of BoD
- independence of BoD
- board's oversight of executive compensatio
- ability of shareholders to call special meetings
- include local communities, employees, environment
- values: integrity, honesty, transparency

(3a) Good corporate governance procedures can
*****************************************
- help leaders evaluate the strength of a business partner
- decipher the inner workings of a Merger or Acquisition target
- fend off a hostile takeover
- find a reputable employer and increase its profits

(3b) Companies with good corporate governance
*****************************************
- select the right Directors for the Board (the heart and soul of good corporate governance procedures)

(3c) When investing in such a company as an employee, customer or owner, you
*******************************************************************
- entrust your reputation, money to the organization's management team
- trust this team to act as competent, vigilant stewards of these valuable assets
- ask they demonstrate transparency in their actions
- ask they invest themselves and their money alongside the average stakeholder
- ask that they don't pay themselves huge bonuses when their individual performance does not warrant it
- ask they seek out independent viewpoints to allow for superior decision making
- expect the business to be run as honestly and efficiently as possible

(3d) Good corporate governance procedures are designed to protect against bad behavior
***********************************************************************************
Strong practices and controls
ensure rules are followed
right people benefit from the success of the business
good corporate governance leads to robust financial performance
market rewards good corporate governance, punishes shady behavior

Effective governance protects from impact of bad decisions
Bad decisions can be made in all corporate governance environments, weak or strong

(4a) Companies with poor corporate governance
*********************************************
- make decisions that adversely affect the interest of shareholders
eg. excessive bonuses for underperforming executives
- weak corporate governance structures allow bad decision making
- By definition, Management and Board are not supposed to get too cozy.
But too often though they form close relationships after working together over the years
In reality, too often, management teams abuse their positions
- they treat shareholder money like it is theirs
- become secretive
- greedy
- dictatorial

(4b) BoD Conflict of Interest
*****************************
- Board sets their own pay: potential for conflict of interest exists (shenanigans)
- If CEO is also Chairman of Board, then fox is guarding the henhouse: potential sign of a weak board
- A company nominating questionable people to the board
    individuals who have ongoing business interests with the company: employees, friends and family of the management team, resulting in related-party transactions
    people with little industry experience who can be manipulated by management
- Related Party Transactions
A business deal between two parties that have a relationship aside from the business transaction itself
eg. a corporation may deal with relatives of executives or with companies owned by its executives or major shareholders

(4c) BoD voting process
***********************
plurality voting - get elected with margin of a single vote: weak corporate governance allows this; board members can get a seat even without receiving 50% votes shareholders cast
majority voiting - need to earn a majority of votes to gain a seat

(4d) Dual Share-Class Structures: Self dealing management
********************************
Designed to redistribute decision-making at the board level: insiders like managers and directors typically own a minority stake in the company but control majority of voting rights
Violate one share one vote concept
Class A preferred stock = boost employee power to 10 votes per share; outside sharehlders get a single vote per common share.
Sophisticated investors move away from buying shared with lesser rights - they know their interests will be overlooked since their votes carry less weight
Dual share companies tend to have higher cost of capital

It begs the questions:
Does management treat shareholders as partners?
Is management capable ?

If answer is No
****************
Managers can insulate the company from proxy contests, hostile takeovers
Protect themselves from being removed for incompetence

If answer is Yes
****************
Multiple classes of shares can allow management to focus on creating shareholder wealth for the long term
eg. Berkshire Hathaway


Techniques to defend firm against invaders
*******************************************
Any of these techniques when used inappropriately can do damage to shareholders.
From anti-takeover provisions they can become dangerous management weapons quickly.

Poison pill can seriously dilute ownership levels of legitimate stockholders.
Redesign of corporate capital structure of a company may suit management interests but not necessarily interests of common shareholder

5a. Anti-Takeover Provisions to repel corporate invaders
***************************
Significant ramifications for employees and investors
Financial weapons a company can deploy to dissuade another company from taking it over
companies use these defenses to fight off unwelcome competitors
these provisions can be highly destructive to the common shareholder

5b. Poison Pill Deterrent to take-over
**************
The company's BoD passes a resolution that grants existing shareholders the right to receive additional shares of stock.
if an entity purchases more than a small fraction (eg. 10%) of the company's outstanding shares.
If someone acquires enough shares to cross the hurdle, rights of other shareholders to obtain new shares immediately take effect.
Dilutes potential acquirer's percentage ownership in the company.
Company could issue so many additional stocks that an acquirer could never gain a controlling interest.
Forces acquirers to spend more than they expected in order to biyout a company's shares

Poison pill is Rarely triggered because
BoD can cancel the poison pill
Potential acquirer' seek the agreement of a company's board as an initial step in a takeover bid

5c. Interlocking director terms
********************************
Makes it impossible to change BoDs at a single annual meeting

5d. Golden parachutes
**********************
Requires Large payments to executives if management changes

5e. Warrants
*************
when attacked, warrants are issued, allowing shareholders to greatly increase the number of outstanding shares

5f. Macaroni defense
********************
Issuing bonds that require large cash payments to redeem

5e. Pac-Man Defense
********************
Retaliating with a hostile takeover bid against an acquirer

5f. Greenmail
**************
Pay the corporate raider to go away

5f. Scorched earth defense
***************************
Destroy or liquidate a company's crown jewels, the most valuable assets
Assume new large debt liabilitis
Take measures to make the company unattractive to a hostile bidder

6a. Related Party Transactions
*****************************
A business deal between two parties that have a relationship aside from the business transaction itself
eg. a corporation may deal with relatives of executives or with companies owned by its executives or major shareholders

6b. Change-in-control payments
*******************************
Special bonuses offered to executives should their company be acquired

6c. Classified board
**********************
Less friendly to shareholders
Directors in board elected at different times and serve differing lengths
Makes takeovers or drastic company changes more difficult

6d. Transparent disclosure
***************************
A company is up front about forthcoming problems
Good for shareholders

6e. Poison Pill
****************
Provision that immediately dilutes company ownership
Offers more shares to existing shareholders - makes a hostile takevoer expensive

6f. Dead-hand provision
***********************
Provision allows poison pill to be removed only by the person who set it in place.
Goal is to make it more difficult for hostile acquirer to remove the poison pill

6g. Say-on-Pay vote
********************
Provision gives shareholders a right to vote on executive pay.
Can be binding or nonbinding

6h. Clawback policy
********************
Rule enables company to recoup prior incentive based pay from executives in the event that corporate earnings are negatively restated or when execs are later accused
of misconduct

7. Organizations researching corporate governance
**************************************************
Corporate Governance Quotient CGQ data from Institutional Shareholder Services
theCorporateLibrary.com provides in-depth discussions of corporate governance levels at various firms

IV. The Financial Consequences of Executive Compensation (WK10L2)
*********************************************************
Executive compensation - core focus of HR professionals in past; now also financial analysts
Incentives are key
Pay attention to incentives execs receive via their compensation packages
"Never, ever think about something else when you should be thinking about the power of incentives", Charlie Munger
Understand which compensation package enables positive outcomes and which ones can court disaster

1. Poorly designed compensation schemes for execs
***********************************************
- When a leader's financial incentives are poorly constructed, the organizational outcomes tend to fare poorly as well
- Execs being lavished with bonuses while companies underperform or even fail; just not right
- negative financial consequences for shareholders, employees, customers

2. CEO Responsibilities (ECC)
********************
(1) Empower: the right people to run day-to-day operations of the business
(2) Capital allocation: Make the best possible capital-allocation decisions
(3) Culture: Foster and implement long-term strategic and cultural change

3. For handling these crucial roles, CEOs are handsomely rewarded.
This is not a bad thing.
It takes rare talent to run an organization properly.
*****************************************************
People should be paid well if they deliver the goods
*****************************************************
Talent and performance need to be rewarded
*******************************************

4. What is going wrong today?
***************************
- CEOs are given incentives to hit wrong targets
- Many execs receive large sums of money regardless of whether they are ultimately successful in hitting these targets
- high executive compensation is one of the clearest indications that a company will underperform over the long term
- higher the "CEO pay slice" (avg 35%), the CEOs portion of the company's total compensation, less likely a company will earn in future.
- many well paid CEOs cannot justify their gaudy compensation packages
- CEO to average worker pay differential higher than 20:1 endagers morale and productivity
Avg US CEO makes 263x more than average worker (Anderson et al, 2010) vs 525x (2000s) vs 107x (1990), vs 42x (1980).
- higher CEO pay does not produce higher results (higher pay correlates with but does not cause bad performance)

5. With right incentives, a good CEO will steer his company in the right direction
********************************************************************************
5a. The wrong way to craft incentives (Enron story: Conspiracy of Fools, 2005)
**********************************
Failures of the worst compensation systems
- execs and CEOs receive large sums of money even when they missed targets by a mile and did unethical things
Jeffrey Skilling cashed $60M in shares before the company declared bankruptcy
- execs handsomely rewarded for achieving objectives which were harmful to their organizations eg Enron
Booked inflated earnings, shifted huge debt and losses off the balance sheet through special purpose entities
Rewarded executives for creating spikes in price of electricity; this led to 38 rolling blackouts across California
- Impact: Destroyed the company, brought down Arthur Andersen accounting firm, investors lost billions,
damaged lives of 10s of thousands of employees, millions of innocent victims in process

Compensation scheme can ultimately make the business worse-off eg. sales growth metric
Higher sales does not mean the org is built for long term
A self-interested CEO can push short-term sales growth, reap financial reward and damage long term fortunes of the business

5b. Solution: Keep incentives in line with what you want the CEO to be doing
************************************************************************
Key Metrics & Questions to align performance with incentives & create effective executive-compensation structure
*************************************************************
Long Term Bias - Does it minimize short-term thinking ?
Shareholder interest - Does it match up CEO and shareholder interests?
Fraud-Proof - Does it reduce opportunities for fraud?
Wholesome Decison Making - Does it generally encourage good decision making ?


When evaluating a company's compensation scheme, know
*****************************************************
(1) the benchmarks on which the board is basing executive pay: right plan in place, and right metrics within the control of the CEO
************************************************************
(2) how much the CEO is getting paid to attain those benchmarks: Scale of pay; how much guaranteed vs pay for performance? how much is tied to metrics that CEO can control?
**************************************************************
Compare total pay vs net income: 2-4% of a company's net income typically turn into CEO compensation
Look at comparable companies to determine appropriate pay levels in the industry
Look at company's proxy statement (notice of annual general meeting of shareholders): board's compensation, audit committees, important details of executive pay
(3) trustworthiness of directors who set the compensation: Quality of the board - a strong board will find a workable compensation system
*********************************************************
- Upstanding
- Conservative
- real independence
- realistic incentives

6. Ideal CEO pay package
************************
Good corporate governance comes down to good executive incentives.
Well-constructed pay package should have 3 elements (Nell Minow, Corporate Library):
(1) Meaningful Clawbacks - if numbers were misstated, bonus given must be recouped or "clawed back"
(2) Low up-front payments with a payday when things work out
Incentive compensation should be attached to specific performance goals or to outperforming a company's peer group
(3) Long term restrictions on stock sales: Execs should never be allowed to sell stock from Restricted stock grangs or
realized options right away, and at least until 3 years after leaving the company.
Decisions CEO makes should not only guarantee corporate success when he is there, but also long after he is gone.


7. Get executive compensation right
************************************
With Effective package of incentives, the company will be built to last from top down for all:
Employee looking to work for the right leader
Investor struggling to identify a safe investment
Board member looking to structure a CEOs compensation package

V. Ten Rules to Live by in Finance (WK10L3)
********************************************
"It is not about the tool, it is about the carpenter !"
It takes years of practice to use strategies effectively

Guidelines for financial decision making and saving financial headaches
(1) Debt Kills
***************
Stay conservative with debt of all kinds and avoid it outright, if possible
You can make a lot of money without borrowing
Excessive debt has destroyed many financial decisions
(2) Expand your time horizon
******************************
Dont give in to short term performance pressure
Ignore short term volatility, avoid reckless and reactive decision making
Position a business to succeed for decades
Rome was not built in a day, and neither are great businesses
(3)Stay conservative
*********************
Consider a range of outcomes, not just the most optimistic ones
Results you achieve matter more than what you want to happen
Dont promise more than you believe is possible
Be cautious and honestly capture the downside
(4) Dont let the tail wag the dog
**********************************
Confirmation bias - deciding before analyzing the data
Data should inform decisions. Not the other way around.
(5) Dont put all your eggs in one basket
*****************************************
Diversify to protect against something going wrong
Prevent total failure
Be able to walk away from mistakes or uncontrollable events and get back in the ring for another round
Dont take more risk than you feel comfortable losing
(6) Trust but Verify
*********************
Verify accuracy of data used to build complex models that fuel critical decisions
Go to the source of the data - the originial documents; owners who speak to facts on a first hand basis
(7) Check your emotions at the Door
************************************
Emotions cloud judgment in the middle of a dramatic event but dissipate over long term
Intense emotion is the enemy of effective financial decision making
Emotions follow Big money
When stressed, take a break - few breaths, minutes, days - to revisit the issue
" control urges"
(8) There is a right & a wrong price for everything
******************************************************
Do not overpay for acquisitions
Things that were written off for a song are actually hugely valuable.
(9) " Risk Adjusted" Return is what matters
********************************************
Assess risk in a particular action
how much will the payoff be once you calculate the likelihood of happening * factor in how bad it could get if things didn't turn out as you expect.
(10) Never Stop Learning
*************************
Improve financial decision making through life long learning
Expand and ruminate over the lessons learned.
Become comfortable with complex ideas and put your knowledge to practical use.
If price were to knock down 20%, 50%, 90%, people could get interested
No matter how attractive, there's a price at which you need to say "no thanks" and move on

Reference
http://blogs.hbr.org/cs/2013/04/when_best_practices_dont_travel.html

Tuesday, June 11, 2013

Organizational Change & Culture - wrap up summary

JWI 555 Organizational Change & Culture, Week10 course wrap up, 6/12/13

This is easily one of the finest classes I have ever taken in my career. From the learning I am already seeing profound impact on my thinking and behavior.

After turning around IBM from a death spiral in 1993, CEO Lou Gerstner said in his book, "culture is THE game in a company the size of IBM" (Gerstner, 2002). Understanding what culture means and learning change-leadership techniques to elevate a team's performance to highest levels, I now feel very well prepared to face major business challenges confidently.

Because change-leadership and culture are passionate subjects of mine, especially after seeing IBM struggle so badly with culture and change issues and making a miraculous come-back from death, I have diligently taken copious notes to take forward.

What have you mastered about Organizational Change and Culture?
None.
"what we know is the size of the fist, what we don't know is the size of the world", said a South Indian Saint Avvaiyaar.

I do feel comfortable with the following concepts that I have internalized them fully.

0. Why organizations should change and improve?
When orgs improve, many people win
Employees - enjoy satisfactions of success, productivity, creativity, better reputation, greater compensation
Consumers - get innovative products and services at better prices
Communities - prosper
1. It is the leader's job to look into the future with industry leading thoughts, see around corners and steer the direction of the firm to seize opportunities and avoid train wrecks.
2. Be a change agent - Change the Game
Forces driving change - Technology, Globalization, environment, financial crises
Forces resisting change - Culture, Calcification, Complexity
Explain rationale for change, Get right people on the team, get the resisters off the team, Seize every opportunity

3. Leading Change - Kotter framework
Establish sense of urgency
Create a guiding coalition
Develop a change vision
Communicate the change vision for buy-in
Empower employees for broad based action
Generate short term wins
Consolidate gains, produce more gains
Make it stick
Leadership skills & behaviors essential to driving change include
(i) Look forward to where change will be most urgently needed
(ii) create and communicate vision for change
(iii) mobilize support for change effort
(iv) make clear demands for results to be achieved, give honest performance feedback
(v) organize and direct people in ways that they can make change happen
(vi) communicate openly, honestly across org levels and boundaries
(vii) master at least one change methodology and use it widely to generate best results
(viii) overcome barriers and resistance
(ix) Continuously improve change-capability in the firm by improving your own skills as a leader and a manager.

4. Demand Better Performance & Get Better Results (Schaffer, 1991) & JWI 555 W3L2
Make the business case - Start with an urgent problem.
Select the goal and specify the minimum expectation of results.

5. Great leaders inspire action by starting with why (Simon Sinek)
Why - (what I believe) this is the emotional side
How & What are the logical side

6. I attained greater clarity about the concept of stakeholders.
I was able to rank them in the order of importance.
This gives me a valuable framework to be a more inclusive leader.
Those who focus only on shareholders and ignore key stakeholder segments could risk running the firm into troubled waters.
Stakeholder mapping technique allows a practical way to manage and drive change in the firm.

7. The discussion about Dos & Don'ts in making employees live and breathe the vision helped me see what levers to push
and what pitfalls to avoid while communicating a vision.
Setting clear goals & Avoiding jargons, communicating to broad team & not just the top leaders, modeling values with actions,
reinforcing vision with rewards & not assuming people will do what you expect, appeal to emotion also & not just logic
8. I also learned the importance of vision statement in focusing and motivating the organization.
The expanded vision matrix metrics - strategic, financial, operational, organizational - equip me with practical knobs to turn in making the vision a reality.
Strategic: product/service focus, customer/market focus, unique positioning, differentiation
Financial: guiding financial-performance indicators; success metrics; significant financial commitments or decisions
Operational: essential manufacturing/service/delivery capabilities; technology priorities; key performance indicators
Organizational HR recruitment, selection, retention, development priorities, leadership decisions, structural considerations
9. Business Process Redesign - This five step framework is already valuable in helping me drive positive change through the organizations I work with. Best practices, VSM, employee empowerment, obstacles removal, Focus on Results.
Improving an organization's capability must first begin with reviewing what already works best ie the best practices.  Second, Value Stream Mapping (VSM) can  be applied to methodically to identify waste - time delays and increased expenses, redundancy, bottlenecks, reworks and communication misses. Alternatively, fundamental redesign of processes from a clean slate can also be attempted. Third, employees need to be empowered to  generate good ideas and act on their wisdom. Fourth, dis-empowering obstacles such as obstructing  formal structures, misaligned middle-management bosses, skills deficit, thankless compensation systems need to be addressed. Finally, the change agents need to be focused on results, not activities.

10. Deliver Rapid Results through Quick Wins & Motivation Levers

- Learning the importance of quick wins helps me grow as a leader.
I understand that supporting a long vision by generating a series of quick short term wins is a key leadership technique.
This is precious to me. I am already applying this principle at work now and will deploy them in my non-profit mission quite gainfully.

- Drive Change with the Rapid Results Technique
Identify most current, high-impact problems
Generate ideas to fix them
Create a dedicated SWAT team to move quickly
Use Good project management - work plan, accountability
achieve goal - 30-90 days , energize
Expand effort to more challenging goal

- Spot resisters quickly, deal with them creatively eg. using motivation levers or let them go
Different people in a corporation are motivated by different things(Gerstner, 2002)
- money
- advancement
- recognition
- fear
- anger
- learning
- opportunity to make an impact, see efforts produce concrete results
- rouse with a threat of extinction
- inspire with a compelling vision of future
- being part of something bigger than you

11. Work-Out & Six Sigma are two of the five most important change leadership techniques that can lead to a LEANer organization.
Best practices sharing, Process Redesign, Rapid Results are the other three methods. Learning about these methods and having a conversation with Jack Welch made a very special week.

Work-out is a technique used to give everyone a voice and bring every brain in the game to eliminate unnecessary work and bureaucracy  (JWI 555, W7 L1). Planning & Teamwork, Townhall meeting, Implementation are the 3 key steps in Work-Out.

Six Sigma is a quality improvement strategy and program that aims at transforming business processes to reduce defects and drive down variation in products, services and customer experience.  It overhauls a company's internal processes so that customers get what they want, when they expect it, every time. DMAIC  (Define Measure Analyze Improve Control) are the 5 steps of six sigma

12. From Jack's WK8 video I learned the importance of communicating why change must happen, how change will be done,
what is in it for the people and repeating ad nauseum. This makes perfect sense.

13. From W8L1, I learned how to use the five tools for change leadership
- best practice sharing, process redesign, rapid results, work-out and six-sigma -
after taking into account practical considerations such as speed, cost, flexibility, range of problems they can tackle, technical rigor required and produced.
14. W8L2 highlighted the 7 elements in effective change-communication:
simplicity, metaphor, using multiple communication channels & forums, leading by example, explaining inconsistencies, talking but also listening.

15. WK8 DQ1 gave me a chance to think and act like a CEO in a turn around situation, leading change from the forefront.
The BP assignment with TeamB helped to pull all the concepts together and apply in a real life example.
Working with TeamB colleagues Alexandra, Michael & Shalonda helped me learn how to work together with trust, respect for each other's diverse constraints,
flexibility and leverage each member's unique strengths.

16. Complexity is the enemy of change (WK9L1).
Sources of complexity include dysfunctional structures, product/service proliferation, unplanned process evolution and unproductive managerial behavior.
Too many steps, meetings, stakeholders, layers, products
Takes too long to make decisions.
Simple requests don't get action.

17. Simplify using Customer-centered perspective, Five change tools, Communication Clarity, Results focused demand making, Delayering,
moving from command & control style of management to empowering direct reports to make their own decisions.

18. Delayer the organization
Layers must be prevented as they insulate from reality, slow down decision making, distort information and smother initiative.
19.  Be a change agent (Welch, podcast WK9)
- See the future no one sees; Take intrinsic Authority, Don't wait; Have the guts to bet your careerl; assemble followers to go for it;
exude excitement to lead and be a part of a change initiative; be open to change; forget yesterday's game and look at every day afresh

20. Management objective is not just to increase shareholder value but to gain trust of all stakeholders (McKinsey, 2009).
Key stakeholders should include employees, customers, suppliers, communities, the press, unions, governments, civil society.
Decision making, compensation practices, performance management must shift from shareholder-centric to multi-stakeholders centric focus.

What do you now understand but may want to learn more about?
I understand the following concepts but will need to practice them and learn more to internalize fully:
21. Manage People to lead change - Hire, Develop & Promote Talent; Fire under-performers and resisters
Hire and promote only true believers and get on with it types
Set standards of leadership behavior: Simplicity, Speed, Self-confidence; Values vs Achievement matrix

22. Put a candid appraisal system in place first, then differentiate 20/70/10, then tell people where they stand & how to improve:
Top20 - they should know you love them, take care of them,pay em, reward em, let them know they are top20
Middle70 - tell them they are the valuable middle, give them reward, show them how to get to Top20
Bottom10 - tell em they are in bottom10; 70-80% will move on to another company - will go elsewhere, find a job and grow
23. Culture & Future - Two Responsibilities of the senior-most leaders
************************************************************************
- identify challenges and opportunities of the future; stay several steps ahead of everyone else
- manage and change organizational culture

24. Diagnose Culture in a firm
Know where to look. Evidence shows up in many places.
****************************************************
- is structure hierarchical or flat?
- Are decisions made by a single person, few senior managers, with participation from a broad group?
- boss's office more luxurious than workspaces of frontline people ?
- how quickly are decisions made ?
- which function ultimately runs the show - R&D, Sales, Accounting?
- Do people speak up with questions and concerns or is there superficial agreement and a lot of underground complaining?
- Are people rewarded for individual entrepreneurship or team work ?
- Who gets promoted?
- Who makes the most money ?
- Where has the company invested money, imagination, time?
- Who gets invited to meetings? What is discussed? How long do they take ?
- Are employees referred to as associates, resources or FTEs?

25. Culture traits that support change
Candor (ideas, speed, cost reduction)
Differentiation (performance recognitions, resource allocation)
Voice, Dignity
Flat stucture

26. Anchor change in culture
voice, candor => invite individual's best ideas
empowerment, accountability => translate ideas into effective action
Address toward end of change process when people see results of change from new behavior

27. Great leaders are a rare kind of change agents
- they don't just navigate orgs through a major change
they identify, lead, embed change after change after change
- have vision and courage to improve things
- have skills to see their vision through
- create an innovative, flexible, forward-looking organization that learns
- comfortable in a world of continuous transformation; drive one major change initiative after another
- at home with high levels of uncertainty
- restless, curious, always looking for ways to get better
- love a good challenge.
- show up with infectious enthusiasm, passion and conviction for each new wave of change
- continuously learn and grow at a rate associated with children; in a totally different league
They stay ahead of change as old behaviors and assumptions get outdated
follow their interests and passions even if unrelated to job
master new avenues for development and use these as lens to see business challenges and opportunities in new and creative ways
- multifaceted, variety of rich experiences, depth of judgment to face world's increasing complexity

28. To become a great change agent
(i) Become ridiculously well-informed about the business, environment
(ii) See things others don't see; think things others don't think
(iii) Cultivate and be open to follow you intuition

29.  Lead change efforts as Business environment is shifting rapidly
Watch trends. Live the WSJ.
Look also at car wrecks - financial crises, bankruptcies, tragedies.
Seize every opportunity, even those wrought by adversity.
Become truly a great agent of change

What questions can you now articulate about Organizational Change and Culture based on what you have learned in this course?
The quote by Gandhi, "be the change you want to see in the world", comes alive to me now in ways I have never felt before. A lot of my questions about culture and change leadership have been answered in this class. I cannot wait to practice these skills and see what unique value I can add to my work. I do have questions about the differentiation technique when rounds of layoff has already cut out the fat from the organization. The bottom 10% is now part of solid performers.

Fantastic learning experience. Awesome class !
Dr DP

Become Truly a Great Change Agent

JWI 555 Organizational Change & Culture, week10 notes, 6/10/13

I find the last week of learning about change leadership to be among the finest of the JWMI MBA program. They teach leaders how to think creatively, use intuition to complement analytics and become outstanding change agents. One gets a great deal of respect for Jack Welch for his willingness to teach these skills.

Clearly, Jack Welch is one of the finest teachers on the planet
Dr DP

I. Igniting Change JWI 555 Wk10 Podcast
****************************************
How can a low level employee initiate change from status quo in an org ?
************************************************************************
99% you can't. You'll get killed trying.
Companies want change in fast moving environment.
Low level employees have to face too many levels and people in the middle.
It just doesn't work.

Earn your stripes - Gain more responsibility, credibility, authority, ability to make a change.
Get to a position where you have your own team.
Then Run it the way you want then.

Work and Wait.
Or stop being frustrated and move on.

2. The new manager and candor (JWI 555, WK10, podcast)
******************************
Does candor work with old people - when direct reports are twice your age?
Everyone wants candor - some are afraid of it
Candor accelerates business - it is a viagra for business
It Drives business, gets it moving faster, stronger
Old or young - You want it straight; stop the BS
Done with generic ambiguity and platitudes

When first introduced, for a period, candor gets reaction of shock:
Head on fire screaming hysteria - whole new way of talking

Candor has to become a company value
************************************
Candor - say this is the way this company is going to operate
this is the way we are going to operate
we are going to measure,  reward and promote those who have it
Like any other behavior
you get the behavior you want when you measure it and reward it
***************************************************************
you can get it !
Candor speeds up business, makes people know where they stand, creates an atmosphere
Rule#1 of business - if you are a manager, tell your people exactly where they stand
You owe it to them, it is your responsibility
Fruits of candor: more effective, shorter meetings, increased productivity
There is no substitute for the speed that candor gives you

3. Candid Appraisals (JWI 555, WK10, video)
********************************************
If people are candid
And people know where they stand (leader's obligation is to tell people all the time where they stand)
When a manager calls and says:
"Look Jack, things are not working out
Time to wrap it up
I say, "I know it, I did not deliver". "Because I have known what the ground rules were".
Less than 5% of people get straightforward candid appraisals.
Everybody winks. This is a winking corporate society - nice appraisals are written end of year.
Appraisals are daily events, monthly events - constantly giving feedback.
So everyone in team knows where they stand.
So when it is time they have to go, they know they did not deliver.

4. Differentiation (JWI 555, WK10, video)
******************************************
Differentiation is identifying the top people, valuable middle and getting rid of bottom weak performers
You told them where they are, told them how to improve, what to expect
4 times a year appraise - here is what I like about what you are doing, here is what you need to improve
12-18 months, come to an agreement, time to move on, what's the deal - work it out, soft landing, go somewhere else to work
Biggest gripe about business - no one should be a manager that have people working for them not knowing where they stand
It is an obligation of management- to tell people where they stand and not leave them guessing
None should work for a boss who has not told you where you stand

5. Knowing where you stand (JWI 555, wk10, video)
**************************************************
The idea that your people dont know where they stand because you are a kind manager - is the cruelest thing to do.
Top20 - they should know you love them, take care of them,pay em, reward em, let them know they are top20
Middle70 - tell them they are the valuable middle, give them reward, show them how to get to Top20
Bottom10 - tell em they are in bottom10; 70-80% will move on to another company - will go elsewhere, find a job and grow
Football & Baseball Teams - every year grade and upgrade the team; they tell people where they stand
rank and yank is cruel and stupid; differentiation before a candid appraisal system is in place is cruel and stupid
Put a candid appraisal system in place first, then differentiate 20/70/10, then tell people where they stand, how to improve
****************************************************************************************************************************
takes 2-3 years to put this system in place
Don't surprise people


6. Week10, Lecture1
********************
(i) Productive organizational change needs the energy & passion of a change leader
***********************************************************************************
- see opportunities and threats
- create a shared sense of urgency
- develop a vision
- commmunicate
- empower
- drive focused action
(ii) Culture & Future - Two Responsibilities of the senior-most leaders
************************************************************************
- identify challenges and opportunities of the future; stay several steps ahead of everyone else
- manage and change organizational culture
(iii) Culture
**************
- norms of behavior and shared values among a group of people in a company
valuing stability, hierarchical structure, resistance or punishment to change initiative
- woven into the fabric of the organization through
thousands of approval and disapproval
reward and censure
hirings, promotions, firings
coversations, symbols, language
clothing
formal and informal power structures
- exerts itself through subconscious actions of hundreds or thousands of people (Kotter)
- powerfully influences human behavior
- difficult to change
- nearly invisible: ubiquitoes like air people breathe, yet so integral that people dont see it anymore
- Some elements support change and some block change
- Change tools can be used to modulate it


(iv) How to Diagnose Culture in a firm
**************************************
Know where to look. Evidence shows up in many places.
****************************************************
- is structure hierarchical or flat?
eg. military is hierarchical with command and control => shows up in org structure, titles, decision making rules, uniforms
universities have flat structures => shows up in professor's independence, collegiality, research publications, academic excellence, conferences, cross-university partners, tenure
- Are decisions made by a single person, few senior managers, with participation from a broad group?
- boss's office more luxurious than workspaces of frontline people ?
- how quickly are decisions made ?
- which function ultimately runs the show - R&D, Sales, Accounting?
- Do people speak up with questions and concerns or is there superficial agreement and a lot of underground complaining?
- Are people rewarded for individual entrepreneurship or team work ?
- Who gets promoted?
- Who makes the most money ?
- Where has the company invested money, imagination, time?
- Who gets invited to meetings? What is discussed? How long do they take ?
- Are employees referred to as associates, resources or FTEs?

(v) Culture Traits that support change
***************************************
(a) Candor (ideas, speed, cost reduction)
**********
be willing to be open about what you think, speak up - an unnatural act
criticise without sugarcoating bad news
don't avoid conflict
Candor generates
- richer ideas (more people get into the conversation)
- speed (ideas are debated and acted upon more quickly)
- cost reduction (elimination of meaningless meetings and reports)
(b) Differentiation (performance recognition, resource allocation)
********************************************************************
Identify company's top businesses and top talent
Act on this distinction to invest in top performers
Rigorously identify top 20% - shower them with love, recognition, money, training, opportunities
Middle 70% - manage differently, focus on developing and motivating them
Bottom 10% - ask them to leave the company
Fill the company with top performers who can thrive in fast-changing environments.
Provide a structure for rewarding people who achieve results in the desired new ways.
Let go of people who cannot keep up.

(c) Voice
************
Get every brain in the game
If hiring was done correctly, then everyone in the room is smarter than you
You need their input
Hear all people's ideas, opinions, feelings
Work-Out gives every employee a voice.

(d) Dignity
*************
Respect everyone's work and effort
Having a voice and feeling respect for your effort encourages employees to give their best change effort.

(e) Flat structures
********************
Reinforces culture of personal empowerment and accountability.
voice, candor => invite individual's best ideas
empowerment, accountability => translate ideas into effective action

(vi) Anchor change in the culture
**********************************
(a) Futile to change culture independent of changing behavior
- layers of socialization and history oppose change
- cannot change culture magically at beginning of a change initiative
must be addressed toward the end of the change process after people see and feel the results of change and as they experience desired new behaviors
(b) Need deliberate ongoing efforts to anchor changes in culture
Else old ways of doing things will smother change and reassert their dominance
(c) needs patience & skill
(d) needs a lot of communication
(e) needs strategic hiring and promotion
(f) needs consistent effort

7. Week10 Lecture2
*******************
Change is Never Over
*********************
Change is a Continuous Process
*******************************

I. Why organizations should change and improve?
***********************************************
When orgs improve, many people win
Employees - enjoy satisfactions of success, productivity, creativity, better reputation, greater compensation
Consumers - get innovative products and services at better prices
Communities - prosper

II. Change agents make change possible
***************************************
Personal Qualities of Change Leaders
*************************************
Strong leaders
***************
- step up when required; give best effort for years
- help bring org through a big change event eg. restructuring, acquisition integration

Great leaders are a rarer kind of change agents
************************************************
- they don't just navigate orgs through a major change
they identify, lead, embed change after change after change
- have vision and courage to improve things
- have skills to see their vision through
- create an innovative, flexible, forward-looking organization that learns
- comfortable in a world of continuous transformation; drive one major change initiative after another
- at home with high levels of uncertainty
- restless, curious, always looking for ways to get better
- love a good challenge.
- show up with infectious enthusiasm, passion and conviction for each new wave of change
- continuously learn and grow at a rate associated with children; in a totally different league
They stay ahead of change as old behaviors and assumptions get outdated
follow their interests and passions even if unrelated to job
master new avenues for development and use these as lens to see business challenges and opportunities in new and creative ways
- multifaceted, variety of rich experiences, depth of judgment to face world's increasing complexity

"be the change you want to see in the world" Gandhi

III. How to Look Ahead to Stay Ahead
*************************************
Ability to see around corners is one of the most important characteristics of a leader
Every leader must have - Vision, ability to predict future
Good leaders - anticipate the radically unexpected
Best leaders - sixth sense for market changes in a brutally competitive environment, moves by competitors and new entrants

To develop this skill:
(i) Become ridiculously well-informed about the business, environment
*********************************************************************
Follow a wide range of emerging trends
Be passionately interested in the future
Talk and listen to all kinds of people
be a sponge; soak in knowledge, ideas
(ii) See things others don't see; think things others don't think
******************************************************************
think creatively - view a problem from a different angle
Discern patterns others have missed
this is how you develop the sixth sense
(iii) Cultivate and be open to follow you intuition
****************************************************
Analytic, fact-centric business environment
Complement this with intuition - recognize patterns

IV. Ten Trends Driving Change (Beinhocker et al, 2009 HBR, McKinsey)
******************************
Accelerating Trends
********************
(1) Loss of trust in business - boycotts, negative publicity, added regulation
(2) Bigger government - stimulus packages, regulatory reforms, direct and indirect decision making in business
(3) Consumption pattern shifts away from US to China, India and other emerging markets
(4) Industry restructuring - financial collapses, M&A
(5) Destabilizing price environments - deflation & inflation emerging as potential threats
Steady Trends
*************
(6) Global demand increases for oil, water; price increases, volatility, shortages
(7) Big Data - data driven decision making; mathematical models; computing power
(8) Asian economy grows
(9) Innovation in IT, BioTech, Clean Energy, Nanotech
Decelerating Trends
*******************
(10) Slowing globalization of goods, services, talent
Governments become restrictive and protective in face of threats to economic recoveries

IV. Participate in change efforts
**********************************
Business environment is shifting rapidly
Watch trends. Look also at car wrecks - financial crises, bankruptcies, tragedies.
Seize every opportunity, even those wrought by adversity.
Become truly a great agent of change


Sunday, June 9, 2013

Become a Global Player - examine emerging market opportunities, adjust to risks

JWI 531 Financial Management II, week9 summary, 6/9/13

I have felt the force of globalization starting in the early 90s with the birth of the internet. But it was only through this week's learning that I understand the gravity of the situation. Knowing that China and India will shape world politics as major growth markets gives me greater clarity. Having spent half my life in India and half in US, I can see from both sides of the wall that separates growing markets and advanced markets. The five factors to watch for pitfalls & evaluate attractiveness of investment (JWI 531, WK9L2) prepare me  to make informed choices as a business leader:

Respect for rule of law - strong rights of appeal, low levels of corruption
Political stability and a government makes up a small percentage of local economy
Stable currency
Invest-ability
Culture

Great training !

Dr DP

JWI 531 Financial Management II, week9 notes, 6/9/13

1. Markets are Going Global
****************************
Power shifting to Growth markets eg. BRICs, emerging markets; China & India will shape world politics.
Corporations are going abroad, transforming to Mega corporations

2. Evaluate global opportunities
*********************************
International investment has potential to spread like wildfire
With great potential comes great challenge

Five factors to watch for pitfalls & evaluate attractiveness of investment
***************************************************************************
Respect for rule of law - strong rights of appeal, low levels of corruption
Political stability and a government makes up a small percentage of local economy
Stable currency
Invest-ability
Culture

3. Become a global player
**********************
Examine exciting opportunities
Adjust to a variety of risks
Going global is well worth it

4. Emerging markets vs advanced markets - Differences
****************************************************
The key difference between a developing and developed country is economics and quality of life (Difference, 2012). 
A developing country is in the process of industrialization, less affluence, lower education, high birth/death rates,
limited access to medicine/technology and unstable governments (Difference).  A developed country, by contrast, has a post-industrial economy,
high affluence, strong education, strong transportation infrastructure, stable government, low birth/death rates,
abundant food supply and easy access to medicine and technology (JD)

There are several important differences that need to be considered:

1. Growth opportunity
**********************
Advanced and maturing markets grow at a slow rate while emerging markets offer higher demand and therefore superior growth opportunities. BRIC countries are therefore sought after by firms from advanced countries that are looking for ways to grow their revenues.
2. Lower Cost
**************
Manufacturing and labor costs are typically much lower in emerging markets. For instance, a PhD IBM engineer in Bangalore will make 1/4-1/3 the pay of his colleague in the US with similar qualifications. Shifting the workforce to such markets leads to lower costs and higher profits for the firm.
3. Innovation Hub
******************
Emerging markets can leap frog the advanced markets by seizing the opportunity to move to technologies even more advanced than those used in advanced markets. For instance, in India, cell phones have been embraced by even the most poorest of people - far outnumbering what we see in the US. Importantly, business model innovation is driving cost per minute for cellphone usage to drop precipitously in India - unlike what we see in the US.
4. Corruption
**************
Rule of Law is enforced better in the advanced markets (JWI 531, W9L2) while corruption is a significant part of business in developing markets. Legal systems are weaker in emerging markets and so risks are higher.
5. Political instability
************************
Advanced markets benefit from having a stable and bankable political system. Emerging markets face higher uncertainty from political turmoil and changing national policies.
6. Currency Fluctuation
***********************
While this can affect any nation, emerging markets could be at higher risk due to high pace of change and volatility in political and business environment.
7. Invest-ability
*****************
Some emerging markets may be closed for foreign direct investment.
8. Culture
**********
Cultural assumptions in advanced markets may not hold in emerging economies. Punctuality for instance is highly valued in the German culture but in India, the concept of time is more flexible and different. Hugging among colleagues of opposite sex to express warmth in relationships is considered normal in US while it may be frowned upon in conservative countries.
9. Infrastructure
******************
Advanced markets enjoy a superior infrastructure to get things done fast. Developing markets may face frustrating things like "power cuts" every 3-8 hours a day !!

5. Advantages & Disadvantages of emerging markets
*************************************************
Advantages of emerging markets are:
***************************************
First mover: Being the first to set-up and become the recognized brand.
Access to Capital: Capital in the region may be untouched and eager stakeholders may be anxious to oblige
High returns: Untapped or developing wealth is not shared amongst a large, competitively active group of companies potentially allowing a few businesses to capitalize on being a scare provider of the wants or needs of the market.

Disadvantages of emerging markets are:
**************************************
Corruption: There may be no political or cultural standard that protects companies intellectual property or from unscrupulous authorities leaving them vulnerable to corruption.
Cultural Risk: The methods and procedures of doing business in emerging markets may develop conflict between cultural expectations, rituals and product uses
Structures and Systems: The infra and micro-structure of the market may not support the operations of the businesses. Roads and power systems may be under-developed and stressed.
Taxes: Foreign companies, with their advanced market money, are likely to pay a higher share of taxes and levies to support the development efforts that local companies
can not finance.

The responsibility of a business manager and leader is shown in Exhibit I below (JWI 510).
To execute to those time-honored responsibilities, a business manager will need to consider the factors above carefully.

6. Exhibit I - Responsibilities of a Business Leader and a Business Manager
****************************************************************************
What a Business Leader Does (Welch, 2005):
******************************************
(1) Build great teams - The team with the best players wins and so relentlessly upgrade the team. Never be satisfied with the quality of a team. At every opportunity evaluate, coach and build self-confidence.
(2) Values - Ensure that people not only see the values but live and breathe it. Values must support a mission and must specify expectations for employees’ behaviors. Leaders define the culture and set a high bar for ethical action. Leaders cultivate emotional intelligence (EI).
(3) Optimism - Leaders get under the skin of their employees, exuding positive energy and optimism.
(4) Trust – Leaders build trust with candor, transparency and credit. With emphasis on candor, leaders engage every brain in the game, unclutter bureaucracy and drive up the speed of decision making.
(5) Courage – Leaders have the courage to make unpopular decisions through gut calls.
(6) Question – Leaders question and probe with curiosity, bordering on skepticism, making sure their questions are answered with actions.
(7) Inspire – Leaders inspire risk taking and learning by setting an example.
(8) Celebrate – Leaders celebrate accomplishments and never skip the fun part.

The role of a manager is to support the leader’s vision by taking care of details in complexity and execution. Specifically, Jack Welch points out that a manager has four major responsibilities:
(1) Planning & Budgeting – Managers are responsible for delivering results in a predictable manner, always on time and within budget
(2) People – Pick the right people for the right job. Set performance goals and measure behavior. Motivate, encourage, guide and counsel employees. Create individual development plans. Differentiate performance and decide on fair rewards. Create an environment where employees can excel and innovate. Encourage diversity, celebrate differences and play to people’s strengths.
(3) Performance – Track performance versus target and problem-solve by removing obstacles.
(4) Policies – Articulate clearly the business conduct guidelines, management policies & protocols.

Be a change agent - broaden stakeholders view, delayer to simplify, manage through empowerment

JWI 555 Organizational Change & Culture, week9 summary, 6/9/13

Whew ! What a marathon this week was. I found this week to be among the most challenging to keep up, given the many materials to read, digest and synthesize. The end result is rewarding for sure as I gained whole new frameworks and perspectives on managing change & communication. Key insights I learned this week include:

(1) Complexity is the enemy of change. Sources of simplicity include dysfunctional structures, product/service proliferation, unplanned process evolution and unproductive managerial behavior.

(2) Antidotes include Customer-centered perspective, Five change tools, Communication Clarity, Results focused demand making, Delayering, moving from command & control style of management to empowering direct reports to make their own decisions.

(3) Layers must be prevented as they insulate from reality, slow down decision making, distort information and smother initiative.

(4) Be a change agent (Welch, podcast WK9) - See the future no one sees; Take intrinsic Authority, Don't wait; Have the guts to bet your careerl; assemble followers to go for it; exude excitement to lead and be a part of a change initiative; be open to change; forget yesterday's game and look at every day afresh

(5) Management objective is not just to increase shareholder value but to gain trust of all stakeholders (McKinsey, 2009). Key stakeholders should include employees, customers, suppliers, communities, the press, unions, governments, civil society. Decision making, compensation practices, performance management must shift from shareholder-centric to multi-stakeholders centric focus.

(6) Manage People to lead change - Hire, Develop & Promote Talent; Fire under-performers and resisters

(7) Leadership skills & behaviors essential to driving change include
(i) Look forward to where change will be most urgently needed
(ii) create and communicate vision for change
(iii) mobilize support for change effort
(iv) make clear demands for results to be achieved, give honest performance feedback
(v) organize and direct people in ways that they can make change happen
(vi) communicate openly, honestly across org levels and boundaries
(vii) master at least one change methodology and use it widely to generate best results
(viii) overcome barriers and resistance
Continuously improve change-capability in the firm by improving your own skills as a leader and a manager.

There are numerous applications of these valuable principles I foresee at work and in life. Simplification through de-layering is something I can apply immediately with instant results.

detailed takeaways below
Dr DP

JWI 555 Organizational Change & Culture, Week9, 6/9/13
******************************************************

I. Simplify Organizational Structure (WK9 L1)
**********************************************
To develop change capability into a true competitive advantage, go beyond change tools, and focus on
- simplification
- delayering
- spans of control
- people management (performance assessments, rewards, training & development)

Build change capability steadily much like building health and strength going to the gym

(A) Simplify
************
Complexity is the enemy of change - makes it harder and slower to get things done
Too many steps, meetings, stakeholders, layers, products
Takes too long to make decisions.
Simple requests don't get action.

when we amplify the complexity by adding unnecessary layers of management,
confused accountability, slow and unclear decisions, garbled communications,
and lack of focus, it's our own fault. Maybe we don't create ecological disasters,
but we do create small ones in our own organizations every day (Ron Ashkenas, 2010)

To keep the acquired management teams happy, each brand was allowed to run itself in a semiautonomous way.
As the number of brands grew, it became increasingly more difficult to pull together the financials
(which each brand was doing differently, using different systems and assumptions) at the end of every month and quarter.
Eventually, the company found that it had more finance people than sales people, since so much work was required to reconcile the numbers.
The company then spent several years and many millions of dollars to integrate systems that should have been put together as new brands came on board.
(Ron Ashkenas, 2011)

Sources of complexity
**********************
(i) Dysfunctional structures
****************************
- structures have too many levels, redundant functions, unclear roles, disconnected silos
- positions, levels, departments added in response to environmental shifts, acquisitions, professions & ego needs of key employees
- slow communications

Causes: focusing on structure before strategy; designing based on people & personalities; building mechanical rather than organic organizations
Simplify: differentiate between core and context; take customer perspective; consolidate similar functions & tasks; prune layers & increase spans of control

(ii) Product & Service proliferation
*************************************
- products, features, services added
without reducing overall portfolio of offerings, streamlining support requirements
- large inventories

Causes: Adding products, not subtracting; creating products without planning support; selling products that don't integrate with products in customer environment
Simplify: Analyze portfolio; rationalize and reduce products; partner with customers in designing products

(iii) Unplanned process evolution
**********************************
Build process with too many steps, loops, approvals, missing metrics
don't manage them as they evolve and grow

Causes: Local differences; multiplication of steps; informality of process; lack of cross-functional cross-unit transparency
Simplify: Identify best practices; map and redesign processes; use six sigma, rapid results, work-out

(iv) unproductive managerial behavior
*************************************
Causes: giving vague assignments, not holding people accountable, miscommunicating, choosing conflict avoidance over candor
Simplify: ask for feedback, cut unintentional complexity; get a coach/mentor; practice and test communications; beware complexity causing behaviors

Approaches to simplification include
*************************************
Customer oriented perspective
Five change tools
Effective Communication
Results focused demand making

Organizations evolving with Technological/managerial innovation
****************************************************************
moving from silo'd independence to interdependence
"cannot change anything without changing everything" John Kotter

Delayer the organization (layers of Sweaters put you out of touch with environment)
*************************

Function of a manager
*********************
traditional static view: controlling manager aggregates work of subordinates
************************
Optimal level of interaction, attention and control:
5-8 direct reports per manager
higher number means increase in cost, slow decision making, distorted information flow

modern dynamic view: shift from control to adding value
********************
reduce layers and increase direct reports up to 10-15; no more than 8 layers
Do not micromanage employees, relinquish control, empower subordinates
Look for other ways to add value - increase customer contact, develop strategy, make demands, communicate with clarity, improve process, coach, distribute accountability
Direct reports step up - take on greater accountability, show more initiative, make more of own decisions
Faster, more flexible, empowered organizations that are able to change

II. Layers must be prevented (Welch, video, JWI 555 Wk9)
*****************************

(1) Layers slow down everything such as decision making
*********************************************************
Speed is a competitive necessity in today's marketplace.
Layers work against speed of action - they slow things down.
More layers means more rubber stamps.

(2) Layers distort change communication
*****************************************
While communicating change:
Layers add spin, interpretation, buzz, distorting information.

(3) Layers smother and bury startups within large firms
********************************************************
Piles of bureaucrats, processes deprive entrpreneurial ventures that need oxygen and sunlight to survive

(4) Layers cause underutilization & meddling
**********************************************
When there are lots of layers, it may mean managers have too few people reporting to them.
Managers babysit their direct reports or do their job for them.
This kills morale and initiative
Managers should have 8-12 direct reports
Senior leaders should have more direct reports

(5) Layers pop up with growth but must be prevented where possible
******************************************************************
Even when there is no growth firms tend to add layers.
They give people an illusion of Promotions though without raises.
Think of every layer as a bad layer
Much like avoiding danger in a hurricane, if you see a layer coming, batten down the hatches and escape to higher ground.

III. What kind of person is a change agent? (JW podcast Wk9)
**************************************
They are different
10% of employees
everyone has an idea to change
very difficult for anyone to change anything without power
down in the org, big ideas face org inertia and authority structures that stand in the way
more and more employee engagement
hold authority - hire promote fire reward followers for buying into their change program

See a future that no one does
******************************
leaders see things others dont see
see what is better for org
see the need for change
see a discontinuity coming at them
they want to organize and get ahead of curve
to survive
paranoid nutcases
smell something a long way off

Have the guts
**************
courage to bet career, jobs
believes in bold action
willing to face consequences
messy
know in gut they are right
ambiguity ok
bias action
real guts

Assemble followers
*******************
chemistry that galvanizes
turns people on - want to be there, right thing to do, rewarding
love the direction - intensity, caring (not whip people over)
group of people who buy in
followers

change brings growth - survival, elixir, better jobs, oxygen to blood, more and better jobs, new products, global expansion, so much fun and excitement
growing company - has an electric atmosphere; flat or sinking firm - biz as usual, victory is hard to see, show up turn the crank go home
so exciting to lead and be a part of a change initiative

Take intrinsic Authority, Don't wait
See the future no one sees
Have the guts to bet your career
assemble followers to go for it
so exciting to lead a change initiative

IV. McKinsey (Beinhocker et al, 2009)
**********************************
A low-trust environment makes everything about doing business more difficult.
Loss of trust leads to higher costs, lower brand value, greater difficulty attracting, retaining and managing talent.
Regain trust of stakeholders and effectively manage relationships.

Management objective is not just to increase shareholder value but to gain trust of all stakeholders.
Key stakeholders should include employees, customers, suppliers, communities, the press, unions, governments, civil society.
Decision making, compensation practices, performance management must shift from shareholder-centric to multi-stakeholders centric focus.

seek ways to exploit the increasing amount of data and computing power.
Understand quantitative tools - function, assumptions, limitations

V. Create change (Welch, JWI 555 video, WK9)
******************
Be Totally open to change
dont live in the past
yesterday means nothing
successes of yesterday
today look at tomorrows game
blow up past
do your thing
way used to do it - resisters; dont spend too much time; see u later ; no place for u in this train

VI.Lead Change through people management (W9L2)
*****************************************
Manage People - Hire, Develop & Promote Talent, Fire underperformers

Performance Assessment & Rewards Drive Change
*********************************************
Performance assessment
- Identify a change leader
- Assess & reward people's performance during an organizational transformation

Hire and promote only true believers and get-on-with-it types
*************************************************************
change leaders make up 10% of the population
*********************************************
- brash, high-energy, paranoid about the future, invent change initiatives or want to lead them, curious, forward-looking
- they ask a lot of questions, "why don't we...?"
- courageous, fearlessness about the unknown
- thick-skinned about the unknown, risk
- make bold decisions without a lot of data
- ferret out and remove resisters
change followers happy to get on with it.
*****************************************
- do what they are measured on
- rewarded for desired new behaviors ie change capability

simlicity, speed, self-confidence (Welch)
**********************************
Identify standards for leadership behavior that drive change and use these as basis for high level promotion decisions
- managerial attributes
- 360 degree feedback
- questionnaires

GE Performance Matrix
*********************
Good leadership behavior & values, Achieved Results => Promote and Reward
Good leadership behavior & values, did not achieve results => provide leadership development, give chances
Bad leadership behavior & values, achieved results => Tough calls - fire if they cannot change
Bad leadership behavior & values, did not achieve results => Easy calls - no future with the firm

Achieve financial results
Exhibit GE values including Speed, Simplicity, Self-confidence
manage, promote, reward
fire resisters even if they achieved results:
 -  they do not accept change
 - personality issue, entrenched emotionally, intellectually, politically
 - they lower the morale of people who support change

Reward people for aligning with the vision for change
******************************************************
Soul & Wallet
*************
- money:Differentiated rewards for great work done - key for motivation and retentio
- recognition:Differentiated rewards for great work done - key for motivation and retention
- training: good people want to grow; love to learn and stretch; increased capability, confidence, ambition, achievement

Leadership skills & behaviors essential to driving change
*********************************************************
(i) Look forward to where change will be most urgently needed
(ii) create and communicate vision for change
(iii) mobilize support for change effort
(iv) make clear demands for results to be achieved, give honest performance feedback
(v) organize and direct people in ways that they can make change happen
(vi) communicate openly, honestly across org levels and boundaries
(vii) master at least one change methodology and use it widely to generate best results
(viii) overcome barriers and resistance

Org-wide change capability
***************************
- need common framework and language for change
- train as many people as possible with widespread capacity for action

Best large scale efforts
*************************
- orchestrated from the center
- they propel people into action to produce real results
- deliberately aim to produce measurable change in few months or less
- rolled out quickly across entire company , largely run by in-house people: this the new way we do things
- interactive and mind-bending: conveys information but influences behavior; stimulates real dialogue; spur people to question assumptions; encourage employees to experiment
- place high potentials in leadership roles, force them to stretch and grow: learning drives change
- provides many opportunities

VII. DQ1 - Organization layers impede communication and change
********

VIII. DQ2 - Which leadership skill you find most difficult to implement
*******

(1) Honest performance feedback is critical and would help improve productivity.
Reference: Shore, J. (2008). Four Types of People Who Can’t Hear Feedback.
http://www.thinkbusiness.com/pages/article_downloads/Four_Types_of_People_Who_Can't_Hear_Feedback.pdf

Performance Feedback - whom not to give to
*********************
Jean Shore (2008) described four types of people who may not want to hear “honest performance feedback”:
1) people who have been hurt by feedback and are living in fear that they will be hurt again;
2) people who think they know it all;
3) people who don’t value the opinions of others; and
4) people who are currently in personal crisis.

Providing Feedback - how to give and receive it
*******************
Observe behavior and determine if important feedback needs to be given.
Decide if the person is self-aware and mature enough to receive feedback.
Start with positive messages and then deliver the negative feedback.
If person is not mature enough to handle feedback and the truth, use other mitigation techniques to work around the problem.

(2) A view from a marine who retired and entered corporate life
****************************************************************
Disconnect between commitment to the mission & execs giving themselves bonuses while laying people off
Is there a better way for corporate leadership ?

Honor, Courage, and Commitment - Marine Corps Values (courtesy - FC)
*****************************************************
14 leadership traits, and 11 leadership principles (RP 0103 - Principles of Marine Corps Leadership).
***************************************************
(JJ-DID-TIE a BUCKLE)

    Justice - Giving reward and punishment according to the merits of the case in question.
    Judgment - The ability to weigh facts and possible courses of action in order to make sound decisions.
    Dependability - The certainty of proper performance of duty.
    Integrity - Uprightness of character and soundness of moral principles. The quality of truthfulness and honesty.
    Decisiveness - Ability to make decisions promptly and to announce them in a clear, forceful manner.
    Tact - The ability to deal with others in a manner that will maintain good relations and avoid offense.
    Initiative - Taking action in the absence of orders.
    Enthusiasm - The display of sincere interest and exuberance in the performance of duty
    Bearing - Creating a favorable impression in carriage, appearance, and personal conduct at all times.
    Unselfishness - Avoidance of providing for one’s own comfort and personal advancement at the expense of others.
    Courage - Courage is a mental quality that recognizes fear of danger or criticism, but enables a Marine to proceed in the face of danger with calmness and firmness.
    Knowledge - Understanding of a science or an art. The range of one’s information, including professional knowledge and understanding of your Marines.
    Loyalty - The quality of faithfulness to country, Corps, unit, seniors, subordinates and peers.
    Endurance - The mental and physical stamina measured by the ability to withstand pain, fatigue, stress, and hardship.

 The 11 leadership principles are;
***********************************
    Know Yourself and Seek Self Improvement
    Be Technically and Tactically Proficient
    Know Your People and Look Out For Their Welfare
    Keep Your Personnel Informed
    Set the Example        
    Ensure That the Task Is Understood, Supervised, and Accomplished
    Train Your Marines and Sailors as a Team
    Make Sound and Timely Decisions
    Develop A Sense Of Responsibility Among Your Subordinates
    Employ Your Command within its Capabilities
    Seek Responsibilities and Take Responsibility



Sunday, June 2, 2013

Understand role of Hedging & Diversification in limiting the down side & generating profit

JWI 531 Financial Management II, 5/30/13


WK8L1
*******
Operational success of firms is not merely a function of how well products sell or how well costs are managed - greater forces are at work
eg. currency movement ie Foreign exchange
Global currencies are constantly fluctuating in response to complex macroeconomic forces
Companies that increasingly sell products abroad have to deal with macroeconomic risks associated with international trade.


Think like a risk manager and manage Operational risk in a corporate environment
******************************************************
(i) Hedge currency risk in multinational businesses
(ii) limit risk associated with key costs and prices

Ask the right questions for your business
*****************************************
- get practical solutions

Turn Dollars into Sense
***********************
American businesses do $2.5 trillion worth of business outside US borders.
Europe - turbulence
China - yuan steadily risen in value against dollar

Example of complex global forces at work:
Spring 2010    Unilever shares fall 20% unexpectedly (Lipton, Slim-Fast, Dove, Vaseline etc)
        Strong numbers in previous quarter, market stable

        Some Unilever stocks traded in NYSE as American Depositary Receipts (ADRs)
        Shares traded in US$
        Proxies of principal shares listed in UK

        Pound declined 11% vs dollar
        Dollar denominated ADR shares should have falled similarly

        Unilever reports financial results, sets dividend payout in euros
        Euro tumbles vs Pound vs Dollar
        Euro dollar pound Yuan Rupee Real

Hedging Currency Risk
*********************
This is a crucial part of corporate financial success of a business.
Firms Hedge currency exposure through financial derivatives.
Protect against impact of exchange rates.
Purchase cheap insurance against denominations.
Limit the negative effects of an unexpected event.

Currency effects can impact corporate earnings and valuation

Hedging Commodities and Supplies
********************************
Futures contracts: lock in prices with a type of of derivative
steel, oil, metal
without derivatives, they will be forced to deal with volatile price fluctuations.
Derivatives help provide security
When a company sees prices would be rising for crucial inputs such as sugar and cocoa, it takes actions to lock in prices early

Hershey diversified its dependence of cocoa supply
Not cornered
Mitigate risk by locking in predictable prices for crucial inputs, especially those exposed to serious volatility
Avoid exposing earnings to uncertain markets

Southwest Airlines: ingenious hedging strategy
Saw fuel prices rising and locked in oil prices for years => competitive advantage
This made SouthWest Airlines special and stand out => 17 straight years profits, unusual in the industry

Value of a derivative-based hedging: Allows businesses to take future uncertainty and turn it into a fixed, predictable cost.
There is value and risk.

Businesses most exposed to currency fluctuations
*************************************************
International, Multinationals - Revenues from products or services sold overseas; smaller importers/exporters businesses
European firms - Euro volatility
Global currencies are constantly fluctuating in response to complex macroeconomic forces.
Companies that increasingly sell products abroad have to deal with macroeconomic risks associated with international trade (JWI 531, W8L1)


II. DQ1
*******
I. What types of businesses are most exposed to currency fluctuations?  
Global currencies are constantly fluctuating in response to complex macroeconomic forces. Companies that increasingly sell products abroad have to deal with macroeconomic risks associated with international trade (JWI 531, W8L1). Companies most at risk would include
(i) Multinational firms that have revenues in multiple currencies
(ii) Importers & Exporters whose cost/profit structure could be dramatically altered by currency fluctuation
(iii) Companies that have not made accurate forecasts and therefore have not successfully hedged against currency fluctuations. Successful firms protect against impact of exchange rates. They purchase cheap insurance against other denominations and limit the negative effects of an unexpected event.
II. What type of businesses are most exposed to fluctuations in the costs of supplies?
Commodities will be the most exposed to supply costs. When profit margins are very thin, any significant change in cost of supplies can be disastrous for the firms. Southwest Airlines hedged against rising fuel supply costs and won big time. But when they made a losing bet, they suffered a brutally tough period, ending their long streak of profitability (JWI 531, W8L1).
Unlike commodities, for firms offering products or services with higher value proposition, the margins are likely to be higher, and therefore they can better absorb variation in supply costs.
Additionally, firms that have not hedged against fluctuations in supply costs will be more exposed.
III. What type of firms are more exposed to fluctuations in the costs of the finished products?
(i) Firms that do not mitigate risk - associated with key costs and prices - by locking in fixed prices of components through derivatives. When a company correctly sees prices would be rising for crucial inputs, it should take actions to lock in prices early.
(ii) Firms that depend on a single source for supply eg. Chocolate firms that did not hedge against cocoa price like Hershey did suffered, forced to buy from a single source that cornered the market.

Hedging through derivatives & diversification can help limit the down side and "buy insurance" for the firm. Hedging can also carry with it high risk that can limit the upside profits for a firm or in the worst case, for those who dabble without understanding the fundamentals, lead a firm to closure or acquisition.

Dr DP